Dbacks - Brewers : ce qu'il faut savoir

Apr 29, 2026; Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA; Arizona Diamondbacks pitcher Eduardo Rodriguez (57)delivers a pitch against the Arizona Diamondbacks in the first... Dbacks - Brewers s'impose comme l'un des sujets qui mobilisent l'attention en Venezuela ce jeudi.

Les faits

• Apr 29, 2026; Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA; Arizona Diamondbacks pitcher Eduardo Rodriguez (57)delivers a pitch against the Arizona Diamondbacks in the first...
• A rubber match takes place in the National League on Thursday afternoon, as the Arizona Diamondbacks rebounded to even their early-week series with the Milwaukee Brewers on Wednesday night.
• Arizona Diamondbacks second baseman Ketel Marte already has five homers in the 2026 season, and all five of his long balls have come against right-handed pitching.
• I’m buying Marte at +297 against Milwaukee Brewers righty Brandon Woodruff, who has given up four home runs in five starts.
• Arizona has a 4.93 bullpen ERA in 2026 while the Brewers are in the top half of the league at 3.94.

L'essentiel

Dans le détail, a rubber match takes place in the National League on Thursday afternoon, as the Arizona Diamondbacks rebounded to even their early-week series with the Milwaukee Brewers on Wednesday night.

Sur le fond, Arizona Diamondbacks second baseman Ketel Marte already has five homers in the 2026 season, and all five of his long balls have come against right-handed pitching.

Concrètement, I’m buying Marte at +297 against Milwaukee Brewers righty Brandon Woodruff, who has given up four home runs in five starts.

Au-delà de ce constat, Arizona has a 4.93 bullpen ERA in 2026 while the Brewers are in the top half of the league at 3.94.

Reste à préciser que the 2026 season has been a good one for Soroka, who has led the D-Backs to a 4-1 record in his five starts while posting a 2.60 ERA.

Les chiffres

À noter par ailleurs : his advanced numbers are a little shaky (4.62 expected ERA, .264 expected BAA), but he has not picked up a loss or allowed more than four runs in a single outing.

Plus précisément, Milwaukee is in fourth in a loaded NL Central, and the team’s plus-26 run differential is a positive sign for its chances or remaining in the playoff mix this season.

Dans la foulée, Woodruff allowed nine home runs in 12 outings in 2025, and he ranks in just the 13th percentile in ground-ball percentage this season.

À ce stade, Marte has fared well against Woodruff in his career, going 4-for-12 with two doubles and an OPS of .929.

Le contexte

Reste à préciser que both Woodruff and Soroka have made five starts in the 2026 season, and they both have four outings with three or fewer runs allowed.

À noter par ailleurs : With this total down at 7.5 for the full game, I don’t mind taking the UNDER 4.5 runs in the first five frames with this starting pitching matchup.

Plus précisément, Woodruff has dealt with a bunch of injuries in recent seasons, but he had a 3.20 ERA last season and holds a 3.13 ERA for his entire career.

Dans la foulée, the veteran right-hander currently ranks in the 78th percentile in MLB in expected ERA (3.05) through his five starts.

À ce stade, Soroka’s expected ERA is much worse – which I mentioned earlier in this piece – but he’s allowed two or fewer runs in four of his five outings while posting a 1.15 WHIP.

À retenir

• A rubber match takes place in the National League on Thursday afternoon, as the Arizona Diamondbacks rebounded to even their early-week series with the Milwaukee Brewers on Wednesday night.
• The 2026 season has been a good one for Soroka, who has led the D-Backs to a 4-1 record in his five starts while posting a 2.60 ERA.
• His advanced numbers are a little shaky (4.62 expected ERA, .264 expected BAA), but he has not picked up a loss or allowed more than four runs in a single outing.