Fuel Price in Pakistan : l'analyse économique

The most serious fuel price shock to hit Pakistan in more than half a century threatens to unleash a flood of cascading crises that could batter all aspects of the economy and undermine the government of Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif. Fuel Price in Pakistan s'impose comme l'un des sujets qui mobilisent l'attention en Pakistan ce jeudi.

Les faits

• The most serious fuel price shock to hit Pakistan in more than half a century threatens to unleash a flood of cascading crises that could batter all aspects of the economy and undermine the government of Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif.
• Fuel import costs are soaring in Pakistan, creating cascading crises that threaten to weaken the economy and undermine the government.
• Pakistan's oil import bill had surged from $300 million before the conflict to $800 million, the prime minister said.
• Soaring fuel costs have a global impact, but Pakistan is particularly vulnerable.
• Fuel prices feed directly into inflation – diesel powers trucks, buses, tractors, generators and parts of the food supply chain, while petrol affects commuting and consumer transport.

L'essentiel

Dans le détail, Fuel import costs are soaring in Pakistan, creating cascading crises that threaten to weaken the economy and undermine the government.

Sur le fond, Pakistan's oil import bill had surged from $300 million before the conflict to $800 million, the prime minister said.

Concrètement, Soaring fuel costs have a global impact, but Pakistan is particularly vulnerable.

Au-delà de ce constat, Fuel prices feed directly into inflation – diesel powers trucks, buses, tractors, generators and parts of the food supply chain, while petrol affects commuting and consumer transport.

Reste à préciser que the government is caught between two bad options, say analysts – pass on global oil prices to consumers and face public anger, or subsidise fuel and blow a hole in the budget.

Les chiffres

À noter par ailleurs : Earlier this week, Sharif said Pakistan’s oil import bill had surged from $300 million before the conflict to $800 million now, which he said erased all the economic progress the country had made over the past two years.

Plus précisément, list 1 of 3Iranian FM Araghchi to visit Pakistan, as talks with US set to resume.

Dans la foulée, list 2 of 3Oil prices rise despite Iran’s proposal to reopen Strait of Hormuz.

À ce stade, the State Bank of Pakistan raised its key policy rate by a full percentage point to 11.5 percent.

Ce qui se dit

“We are in a state of absolute dependency, where even a $1bn tranche, which is a microscopic amount in global fiscal terms, can make the difference between survival and collapse,” said economist Kaiser Bengali, former adviser for planning and development to the Sindh chief minister.

“The current government’s penchant for ‘austerity theatre’ – selling off official cars or symbolic goats and horses – is a joke that has been played out for 40 years,” he said. “It does nothing to impact the oil market.”

“The government’s flawed policies have imposed an economic war on the people,” said Aslam Ghauri of the JUI-F party.

Le contexte

Reste à préciser que Shehbaz said Pakistan's oil import bill had surged from $300 million before the conflict to $800 million.

À noter par ailleurs : Speaking during a Cabinet meeting here, Shehbaz said Pakistan's oil import bill had surged from $300 million before the conflict to $800 million, placing additional pressure on the economy.

Plus précisément, the Iranian minister made two brief visits to Pakistan within 48 hours over the weekend, meeting with Field Marshal Munir and PM Shehbaz to discuss the regional situation.

Dans la foulée, Analysts say the knock-on effects will be increasingly severe, impacting everything from agriculture and transport to the price of food and basic goods, worsening the plight of families already facing a cost-of-living crisis.

À ce stade, In particular, the global energy prices, freight charges and insurance premiums continue to remain significantly above pre-conflict levels.

Recherches associées

Plusieurs requêtes connexes accompagnent ce sujet : Historic fuel price reductions on horizon • Crude Oil Prices Rally as US-Iran Talks on Hold • Fuel prices to go up again from Monday • Stocks Supported by Intel’s Blowout Earnings and Iran Peace Talk Optimism • Gold, fuel prices down in Kabul • Energy crisis dashes global economic outlook.

À retenir

• The government is caught between two bad options, say analysts – pass on global oil prices to consumers and face public anger, or subsidise fuel and blow a hole in the budget.
• The State Bank of Pakistan raised its key policy rate by a full percentage point to 11.5 percent.
• The Iranian minister made two brief visits to Pakistan within 48 hours over the weekend, meeting with Field Marshal Munir and PM Shehbaz to discuss the regional situation.
• Recherches qui explosent : Historic fuel price reductions on horizon, Crude Oil Prices Rally as US-Iran Talks on Hold, Fuel prices to go up again from Monday, Stocks Supported by Intel’s Blowout Earnings and Iran Peace Talk Optimism.